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    经济经纬 2017 Issue (4) :81-85
    国际经济 最新目录 | 下期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
    丝绸之路经济带经济复杂度及其影响因素
    张美云
    西北大学 经济管理学院,陕西 西安 710127
    Economic Complexity of Silk Road Economic Belt and its Influencing Factors
    ZHANG Mei-yun
    School of Economics and Management, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China
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摘要 以出口衡量的经济复杂度反映了一个经济体出口产品的技术含量,可以解释并预测经济增长。丝绸之路经济带多数国家经济复杂度在全球生产网络分工中位于中等或较低位置,采用两步系统GMM等实证方法分析该区域经济复杂度影响因素的实证研究表明经济复杂度滞后一期、创新、基础设施及人力资本对经济复杂度起显著性正影响;制度和人均GDP的对数起显著性负影响;物质资本和产品内分工强度的影响不显著。中国占有明显优势的指标是经济复杂度、研发投入和物质资本,制度和基础设施有一定优势,人力资本的相对弱势地位不容忽视。
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张美云
关键词丝绸之路经济带   经济复杂度   创新   人力资本     
Abstract: The economic complexity measured by exports reflects the technical content of an economy’s exports, which can explain and predict economic growth. In the Silk Road Economic Belt, most countries’ economic complexity lies in the middle or lower position of the global production network division of labor. This paper uses the empirical methods like two-step system GMM to analyze the influential factors of the regional economic complexity. The result shows us that lagged economic complexity, innovation, infrastructure and human capital have significantly positive impact on economic complexity, and institution and the logarithm of average GDP have significantly negative impact, while physical capital and intensity of intra-product specialization don’t have significant impact. China holds significant advantage indexes in economic complexity, R&D investment and physical capital, and has certain advantages in institutions and infrastructure, but China’s relative weakness in human capital can not be ignored.
KeywordsSilk Road Economic Belt   Economic Complexity   Innovation   Human Capital     
收稿日期 2017-07-21; 接受日期 2017-07-21;
基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目(14BJL009);陕西高校人文社会科学青年英才支持计划项目(HSSTP201426)
作者简介: 张美云(1982— ),女,河南商丘人,博士研究生,副教授,主要从事理论经济和区域经济研究。
引用本文:   
张美云.丝绸之路经济带经济复杂度及其影响因素[J].  经济经纬, 2017,4: 81-85
ZHANG Mei-yun.Economic Complexity of Silk Road Economic Belt and its Influencing Factors[J]  Economic Survey, 2017,V34(4): 81-85
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